Vitória de Trump inspira direita no Brasil e acende alertas no governo Lula de olho em 2026
A vitória de Donald Trump nos Estados Unidos deu recados ao presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, provável candidato à reeleição em 2026, e animou a extrema direita brasileira, que demonstrou euforia com o triunfo trumpista. No cerne do alerta a Lula está a necessidade de melhorar a percepção das pessoas sobre a economia, que não acompanha o bom desempenho do governo em indicadores macroeconômicos — assim como ocorreu com a gestão Joe Biden, da qual a derrotada Kamala Harris era vice.
Na eleição dos EUA, entraram em cena componentes como migração e aborto. O caso americano ilustraria, segundo essa visão, uma mudança no comportamento do eleitorado no mundo todo, com novos temas em jogo e convicções mais consolidadas. Lula, então, até poderia melhorar a avaliação entre os que hoje consideram o governo regular, mas dificilmente vai conquistar quem o avalia como negativo.
No campo econômico, criou-se nos Estados Unidos o termo “vibecession” para se referir ao descompasso entre os indicadores e o que a população de fato sente no dia a dia. O neologismo junta as palavras “vibe” e “recessão” para indicar que o país estaria em clima de crise econômica, apesar de os números dizerem o contrário. Trata-se sobretudo de um reflexo da pandemia, período em que a inflação disparou — e é sentida até hoje, a despeito de ter estabilizado.
A pressão sobre os preços já vem sendo utilizada pela oposição para atacar o governo Lula. O preço da picanha — em alusão a uma frase do presidente durante a campanha — é constantemente motivo de embates entre bolsonaristas e esquerda nas redes. Na quarta-feira, o senador Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) avaliou que a economia será decisiva em 2026, sobretudo inflação e poder de compra.
Analistas costumam colocar a inflação, ou o preço dos produtos de maneira geral, como o componente econômico mais decisivo para o voto. Um exemplo no Brasil, diz, é o do governo José Sarney. Com o país enfrentando a chaga da hiperinflação, que fez do emedebista um presidente impopular, ninguém se lembra do crescimento médio do PIB de mais de 4% ao ano naquele período.
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